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February 5th Snow Map / Storm Discussion 2.0 (Ice Storm)

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February 5th Snow Map / Storm Discussion 2.0 (Ice Storm) - Page 3 Empty Re: February 5th Snow Map / Storm Discussion 2.0 (Ice Storm)

Post by oldtimer Mon Feb 03, 2014 11:51 am

Wow!! Momma Mia

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Post by SNOW MAN Mon Feb 03, 2014 12:00 pm

That's ok Frank I think we can all forgive you, we all know you have your hands full with all these events coming one after the other. Lol

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 03, 2014 12:03 pm

Dang if CMC is right I am in that seriously heavy band of ice. Thats one seriously bad situation and I am not trying to hype it looks bad, of course if it pans out that is. As people said we will know more tonight or tomorrow. Do you guys think warnings will be posted by tonight?
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Post by aiannone Mon Feb 03, 2014 12:11 pm

Weather underground has 4-8" of snow for me for this storm changing to a mix. (no mention of rain)

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Post by oldtimer Mon Feb 03, 2014 12:19 pm

Alex I don't understand why it will go back to mixed  If anything temps will drop later Sorry Alex Im in wrong thread I thought you talking bout todays storm


Last edited by oldtimer on Mon Feb 03, 2014 12:28 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by aiannone Mon Feb 03, 2014 12:26 pm

this is for the wednesday storm.

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Post by aiannone Mon Feb 03, 2014 12:59 pm

Euro is coming in cold

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Post by pdubz Mon Feb 03, 2014 1:01 pm

bill Evans future cast came in colder also but he didn't mention it
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Post by aiannone Mon Feb 03, 2014 1:08 pm

wow!!!!
February 5th Snow Map / Storm Discussion 2.0 (Ice Storm) - Page 3 Ecmwf_13

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 03, 2014 1:09 pm

You all can pretty much ignore my snow map. Lol

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Post by pdubz Mon Feb 03, 2014 1:12 pm

hahah you did the best with what you had frank iv never doubted you and wont start now! lets see those cold trends continue  Very Happy 
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Post by aiannone Mon Feb 03, 2014 1:12 pm

Frank are you expecting this to continue colder!??

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Post by sroc4 Mon Feb 03, 2014 1:13 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:You all can pretty much ignore my snow map. Lol

ALLLRRIIIGGHHTTTT!!!  cheers 


Last edited by sroc4 on Mon Feb 03, 2014 1:14 pm; edited 1 time in total

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 03, 2014 1:14 pm

I always though the primary cutting west warmed things up too much. Euro still does change us to rain for a period of time. Still a tricky storm.

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Post by aiannone Mon Feb 03, 2014 1:17 pm

but it's mostly frozen right? Not much rain to do damage to the snowpack?

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 03, 2014 1:21 pm

Yes it is

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Post by aiannone Mon Feb 03, 2014 1:22 pm

ahhh yes!!! This winter just keeps producing. I would assume i have another day off Wednesday lol! Frank when is your new map coming out?

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 03, 2014 1:26 pm

Tomorrow morning before I leave for school, but might release it after 00z's tonight so I don't have to rush.

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 03, 2014 1:33 pm

I hope it trends colder or we are in big trouble with that .5-.75 ice, frank is that freezing rain and sleep or just freezing rain?
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Post by meeka312 Mon Feb 03, 2014 2:04 pm

Can anyone inform me of eastern Monmouth county, specifically belford can expect for this storm?

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Post by amugs Mon Feb 03, 2014 2:29 pm

jmanley32 wrote:I hope it trends colder or we are in big trouble with that .5-.75 ice, frank is that freezing rain and sleep or just freezing rain?



JMAN - follow the euro and rgem - they have the best handle on this IMO and again  the Euro handles the sourthern vorts much better and it has proven this time and time again - there maybe some ice but with this snowpack it will trend even colder - the winds will be NNE - watch this - TRENDS AGAIN TRENDS!!

Okay here is analogy - defense wins you Championships in the sports world right - look who won last night? Seahawks D - and I was rooting for the Broncos - my bad and went against my own personal principles - every championship game I have ever played in, coached in or watched what team won - the best defensive team - THE TREND!!! Enough of my rant - HAHAHAHAHA!!

8+" people that is my call for the NNJ -we trend colder and snowfall totals keep increasing - THE TREND! Is that s TV show - oh no that is the view a frig them!!

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Post by RJB8525 Mon Feb 03, 2014 2:34 pm

Mets2695 wrote:wow!!!!
February 5th Snow Map / Storm Discussion 2.0 (Ice Storm) - Page 3 Ecmwf_13


whoa,does this still mean we get rain or are the models starting to change their tune and go colder with more snow mostly now?
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Post by aiannone Mon Feb 03, 2014 2:36 pm

Much less rain. More snow/ice now. Probably 90% frozen

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Post by nutleyblizzard Mon Feb 03, 2014 2:56 pm

Here is my current feeling with this storm- I think it continues to trend colder in future runs to the point that we have a general 8-12 inches of snow, with some sleet mixed in at times. Icing would be held to a minimum. No meteorological skills to back me up, just a gut feeling- I'll leave the skills for Frank. I just think we have been on a roll lately with these storms- my opinion is that we continue to hold the hot hand!!! Cool 
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Post by algae888 Mon Feb 03, 2014 3:04 pm

Cloudy with periods of snow after midnight. Some sleet may mix in. Low around 30F. Winds NE at 10 to 15 mph. Snow accumulations less than one inch......this is the weather channel forecast for me tues. night. then they have me for rain on weds. what model are they looking at??? I mean its a day away how can forecast that with what the models are showing. how come they are always conservative. what's worse predicting 1" and getting 8" or predicting 8" and getting 1". to me their both the same. they ( the weather outlets) never err on the high end guidance. this stuff just drives me crazy!!
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Post by aiannone Mon Feb 03, 2014 3:08 pm

TWC online forecasts stink lol

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Feb 03, 2014 3:09 pm

algae888 wrote:Cloudy with periods of snow after midnight. Some sleet may mix in. Low around 30F. Winds NE at 10 to 15 mph. Snow accumulations less than one inch......this is the weather channel forecast for me tues. night. then they have me for rain on weds.  what model are they looking at??? I mean its a day away how can forecast that with what the models are showing. how come they are always conservative. what's worse predicting 1" and getting 8" or predicting 8" and getting 1".  to me their both the same.  they ( the weather outlets) never err on the high end guidance.  this stuff just drives me crazy!!

If it was Boston they'd be predicting 12-18 inches and already have 5 meterologist there waiting.

BTW Washington and Baltimore which they hyped for this storm only got rain. Boston almost nothing.
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