February 5th Snow Map / Storm Discussion 2.0 (Ice Storm)

GFS is coming in VERY COLD!

Coldest run yet.

sroc4 wrote:Coldest run yet.

HMMM, the 0z runs tonight are important, still not thinking huge impacts along I-95, after this current storm scoots out the models will have a better handle on this. Several runs still show a mostly rain solution.

GFS got very cold

I need a Blue Moon

Mets2695 wrote:GFS is coming in VERY COLD!

They will all come into my camp sooner or later and the GFS is always last to the party with Southern Vorts. Let the fun part..........????? begin - the GFS has trouble with CAD.  This is what I see with RGEM, three models showing this cold trend.

GFS snow map



This does not show ICE

The GFS typically has a SE bias in this range (remember what it showed with this storm) so I am hesitant to believe it, I would love for this snow map to come true, I would adore another 8" but I just don't see it ATM.

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=224288

Frank_Wx wrote:GFS got very cold

I need a Blue Moon

Regular or Nectar - pop! There you go kid!!

The RGEM baby - it has been deadly so far inside 48hours guys, deadly so far.

ill take that 4-6"

Remember 1994 guys????  It showed light snow and we get crushed, it show rain and we got snow and ice, it showed nothing and we got a moderate snowstorm - this is just .................THE TREND!! Take it all in and put it in the memory bank for future aspects just a piece of info. word of advice to pass along.

Mets2695 wrote:ill take that 4-6"

Alex, No school for you and the rest of us - woohoooo!!!!

Njwxguy and doc your maps aren't showing on your posts.

amugs wrote:Remember 1994 guys????  It showed light snow and we get crushed, it show rain and we got snow and ice, it showed nothing and we got a moderate snowstorm - this is just .................THE TREND!! Take it all in and put it in the memory bank for future aspects just a piece of info. word of advice to pass along.

That may be true but keep in mind the overall trend this winter was overwhelmingly NW in the last runs before the storm. I am going to remain very cautious for this reason and given the biases we're working with. The GFS didn't get this storm right until the last 3 runs before the storm as it ticked NW to come in line with the other models.

amugs wrote:

Mets2695 wrote:ill take that 4-6"

Alex, No school for you and the rest of us - woohoooo!!!!

if the GFS is right and the trend remains! I'll wait until the 0z runs to get excited!

The CMC looks like a nasty ice storm NW of I-95, manually change the prog.

http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html

SNOW MAN wrote:Njwxguy and doc your maps aren't showing on your posts.

How bout now??

NjWeatherGuy wrote:The CMC looks like a nasty ice storm NW of I-95, manually change the prog.

http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html

Tom I totally agree with you about the I-95 cooridor, but hey this winter has been full of pleasant surprises. Cant wait for the Euro 12z and this evenings 00z. They will be huge for sure.

Doc still not showing.

If you are using weatherbell, you have to use an image hosting site now to post them

Frank_Wx wrote:If you are using weatherbell, you have to use an image hosting site now to post them

Gotcha..sorry snow man. Im at work so cant do anything about it for the moment. But will when I get home.

No problem Doc.

Ending quickly. Will be out of here in 3-4 hours

Frank is your last post in this thread for todays storm or the Feb. 5th event ?  

Woops, wrong thread

This is from Bobby on EPAWA. NYC and LI stay mostly frozen. This is the 12z GFS

Wow!! Momma Mia

That's ok Frank I think we can all forgive you, we all know you have your hands full with all these events coming one after the other. Lol