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1st Call Snow Map, February 21st-22nd Storm

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Quietace
lglickman1
skinsfan1177
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Post by amugs Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:25 pm

The show is about to begin here folks as nws just said colder and snowier in there new snow map, also
for SNOW MAN
1st Call Snow Map, February 21st-22nd Storm - Page 7 Post-570-0-36744500-1424464940

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:26 pm

Quietace wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:.75-1.0 qpf I wonder how much will be ice or rain, I would love it to be all snow : )
I think we both know that's not going to happen with the warm nose in the Upper levels...

just upped the area as mugs posted to 4-6 for me, if this holds then we may get the upper end, and watches may be extended east, right now they are all west. No of course I doubt, but never impossible 6-10.

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Post by oldtimer Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:26 pm

Mugs Thats all I could muster up 1" ? Help!!

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:27 pm

1st Call Snow Map, February 21st-22nd Storm - Page 7 Wsw10
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:28 pm

Lets see what mr. boss busy man has to say later, I will be interested in his analysis versus what the NWS just decided to do.
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Post by amugs Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:29 pm

Hells bells peeps we are getting ready to rock the cazba tomorrow. The swfe is coming in faster and a tad juicier by Sr models this afternoon if it shows it again by 0z runs then we are locked up. Plumes are showing 6" for LGA and JFK saying wet bulbs not getting above 33* this is interesting if it serves , weaker lp is the culprit I suspect.Not saying it will happen but a good trend here.


Last edited by amugs on Fri Feb 20, 2015 5:01 pm; edited 1 time in total

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
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Post by oldtimer Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:30 pm

Jman how much on that map thanks

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:31 pm

that's the wwa and wsw map, dark blue wsw purple wwa.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:32 pm

amugs wrote:Held bells peeps we are getting ready to rock the cazba tomorrow. The swfe is coming in faster and a tad juicier by Sr models this afternoon if it shows it again by 0z runs then we are locked up. Plumes are showing 6" for LGA and JFK saying wet bulbs not getting above 33* this is interesting if it serves , weaker lp is the culprit I suspect.Not saying it will happen but a good trend here.

If what you say is true and continues to trend we could all see wsw, possibly not saying it will happen. Only need a push of a few inches, 3-5 is wwa, 4-7 is a wsw.
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Post by oldtimer Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:33 pm

ok 1-3 2-4

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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:36 pm

We are still talking a changeover at some point correct well for me anyway
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Post by amugs Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:36 pm

Gem LAM

1st Call Snow Map, February 21st-22nd Storm - Page 7 SN_000-048_0000

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Post by Vinnydula Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:36 pm

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php
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Post by amugs Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:37 pm

Skins yes you will changeover sorry .

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Post by rb924119 Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:37 pm

Holy crap NWS has me in for 8-10". That was unexpected, especially from Binghamton lol

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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:38 pm

But I will see some front end snow before does this end early sunday
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Post by snow247 Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:50 pm

Uptons snow map has me right on the line of 4-6 and 6-8. This may be my second or even first biggest snowstorm this winter. Hope we all end up with 6-10.

I am excited.
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Post by oldtimer Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:53 pm

I'm excited for you snow but iI never thought I'd be getting 1"

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Post by Taffy Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:55 pm

I'm under a winter weather advisory now. I still have no idea how much snow I'll be getting. But Accuweather's map just says "Heaviest Snow".
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Post by amugs Fri Feb 20, 2015 5:03 pm

Taffy wrote:I'm under a winter weather advisory now. I still have no idea how much snow I'll be getting. But Accuweather's map just says "Heaviest Snow".

Taffy 3-5" maybe 4-6" there in Westfield then changeover to sleet, frz rain and possibly rain at the end.

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Post by Taffy Fri Feb 20, 2015 5:07 pm

Thanks Mugs.....I'm so confused. Embarassed
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Feb 20, 2015 5:31 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
amugs wrote:Held bells peeps we are getting ready to rock the cazba tomorrow. The swfe is coming in faster and a tad juicier by Sr models this afternoon if it shows it again by 0z runs then we are locked up. Plumes are showing 6" for LGA and JFK saying wet bulbs not getting above 33* this is interesting if it serves , weaker lp is the culprit I suspect.Not saying it will happen but a good trend here.

If what you say is true and continues to trend we could all see wsw, possibly not saying it will happen.  Only need a push of a few inches, 3-5 is wwa, 4-7 is a wsw.

4-7 is only a WSW if there is also ice in the forecast. WSW is 6 or more inches of snow in Uptons area.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Feb 20, 2015 5:42 pm

When anyone gets a chance can you tell me what orange county NY pine Bush area can expect and timing from start to finish please
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Feb 20, 2015 5:47 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:When anyone gets a chance can you tell me what orange county NY pine Bush area can expect and timing from start to finish please

An afternoon start Skins anywhere from 4-8 inches predicted by NWS in Orange County now. Actually more towards southern and Central Orange County 6-8, where Doc and I are as per Uptons map, than northern Orange where your family is in Pine Bush. I'm sure it will change again before tomorrow though. Winter storm Watch for all of Orange County right now.
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 20, 2015 6:28 pm

Final call map is out

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