Re: Hurricane Matthew Southeast Coast Discussion Thread

[amugs]

[quote="Frank_Wx"]Wow, he may be a category 5 again.

[/quote

He is heading over teh gulf stream - he will explode - i am calling for a 920's storm with 155mph winds.
The really scary part is up teh coast into N FLA, GA and SC - they will have many high and low tide cycles of water just piling up so when he comes up tehre the surge will be a devastating to historic IF he makes a landfall. remember sandy and how she piled teh water up for 2- 3 High tides before she made landfall but this is a major hcane - very scary scenario unfolding - not hyping at all here but something i do not think peeps realize.

[Frank_Wx]

108 dead in Haiti

[Snow88]

Remember when Upton and WPC were going with the GFS and tossed the Euro for this storm? LOL

[Frank_Wx]

Wow!!!! Avoided land. He will def be a cat 5 again

[jmanley32]

Wow!!!! Avoided land. He will def be a cat 5 again

Jeeze ya the eye just weezeld in between. What you think 2pm or 5pm update cat 5?

[Frank_Wx]

[jmanley32]

man vero beach is go get plowed, anyone know of any good webcams for there?

[Guest]

Anyone have any thought on how far inland in FL major impacts could be felt? My father live just over 50 miles due west of West Palm Beach, but along the SW shore of Lake Okeechobee. Forecasts seem to keep wavering on impacts away from the immediate coast.

Got this from weather.gov. Posted at about 12:15 PM


SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

EVERYONE SHOULD RUSH THEIR HURRICANE PREPARATIONS TO COMPLETION NOW
AND ANY REMAINING RELOCATIONS OR EVACUATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED AS
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE VERY RAPIDLY LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE MATTHEW IS PASSING JUST EAST OF ANDROS ISLAND IN THE
BAHAMAS THIS MORNING, AND IS GAINING STRENGTH AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE
NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.

MATTHEW REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE THAT WILL MOVE NEAR
THE COAST OF PALM BEACH COUNTY LATE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. IT IS
EXPECTED TO BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AS IT MOVES NEAR THE COAST,
BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVASTATING DAMAGE ACROSS COASTAL PALM
BEACH COUNTY IF IT DEVIATES ANY TO THE LEFT OF TRACK. ELSEWHERE, THE
MAIN CONCERN REMAINS THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD TO EXTENSIVE DAMAGE
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES AS WELL AS
AROUND THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION WHERE THERE CONTINUES TO BE A THREAT
OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS. PLEASE DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.

SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF MATTHEW ARE BEGINNING
TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. THESE BANDS WILL CONTINUE
INCREASING IN FREQUENCY AND INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE BANDS AS THEY MOVE
THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA. ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN`T BE RULED OUT, MAINLY
OVER BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

[jmanley32]

2pm update 939mb 140mph winds, we also have 80mph hurricane Nicole.

[oldtimer]

jman last night at 8pm Matthew was at 962mb now as you know its 939mb it dropped that much? How low do you think this thing could get??

[tbone]

Cool to watch the ships that try to avoid the hurricane.

http://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:-79/centery:25/zoom:8

[RJB8525]

http://www.earthcam.com/usa/florida/miamiandthebeaches/?cam=miamibeach1

don't know many sources to watch cams

[amugs]

HOLY CRIPS - A DOUBLE EYE WALL - MADOONNNEEE - THIS WOULD DESTROY ANYTHING IT IT'S PATH!!!

[amugs]

jman  last night at 8pm Matthew was at 962mb  now as you know its 939mb   it dropped that much?  How low do you think this thing could get??

Old T - he could get as low as 920 by landfall - he is over the warmest waters right now - teh Gulf Stream and is bombing out. Recon had instrument issues and had to return so teh picked up an auxiliary plane - this is nuts!!

[amugs]

Nicole WTH she screwed up our Chances with my son and he is pissed off so he will take his anger out on the SE!!



How she pumped the WAR west!!

[mwilli5783]

so is it still possible that matthew does this loop and head back to the bahamas by mon night,then comes back up the east coast all the way to ny?

[jmanley32]

Nicole WTH she screwed up our Chances with my son and he is pissed off so he will take his anger out on the SE!!



How she pumped the WAR west!!

Amazing, I know shes supposed to stay OTS but imagine if she became our threat haha

[jmanley32]

so is it still possible that matthew does this loop and head back to the bahamas by mon night,then comes back up the east coast all the way to ny?

I dunno about coming up the coast, if you see the thread matthew part2 RB talks in a video about how its possible but if Matthew weakens to a TS the chances aren't there and he will just pither out.

[amugs]

Holy Poor Haiti - 136 dead and counting

http://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2016/10/06/At-least-136-dead-in-Haiti-after-catastrophic-Hurricane-Matthew/3661475772669/

[amugs]

[NjWeatherGuy]

It looks like its turning north and the HRRR and extreme western edge and western spread of landfalling models in eastern Florida will bust, but what do I know.

[Guest]

To my eye it looks like the NW side of Matthew is pretty disorganized and it looks to be moving almost due north. Maybe Florida gets spared the worst with a last minute shift east.

[jmanley32]

To my eye it looks like the NW side of Matthew is pretty disorganized and it looks to be moving almost due north.  Maybe Florida gets spared the worst with a last minute shift east.

I was gonna say something earlier but wanted to wait a few hrs to see if it was a wobble, its moving north or NNW....imagine it spares FL, but then umm, does that then put us back in the picture? Does that mean the WAR is not as strong and it would have more of a chance to get further north? I bet probably not but it would def change track completely.

[Frank_Wx]

To my eye it looks like the NW side of Matthew is pretty disorganized and it looks to be moving almost due north.  Maybe Florida gets spared the worst with a last minute shift east.

I was gonna say something earlier but wanted to wait a few hrs to see if it was a wobble, its moving north or NNW....imagine it spares FL, but then umm, does that then put us back in the picture? Does that mean the WAR is not as strong and it would have more of a chance to get further north?  I bet probably not but it would def change track completely.

We're out of the picture. 99% sure.

And Matthew is undergoing an ERC. Eye Replacement Cycle. He'll restrengthen then go back to WNW movement.

[amugs]

To my eye it looks like the NW side of Matthew is pretty disorganized and it looks to be moving almost due north.  Maybe Florida gets spared the worst with a last minute shift east.

He is regaining his mojo - I know all over boards he looks terrible - yeah u go hang out under him with 140mph winds and 20' plus waves.

[jmanley32]

I should mentioned possible eyewall replacement as the other reason thpught bout tgat later while driving.

[sroc4]

Notice the heavy banding wrapping around the western and now southern flank of the eye wall. He will be stronger in another 12hrs.

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