HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
jmanley32 wrote:Pretty much everyone in the area gets it bad, pretty well inland, a smidge west and in makes a central LI hit, that be even worse. Not time yet to sound the alarm but yeah GFS has been getting more consistent on no OTS. So if we get the turn past 74W does that mean the rest of the Euro is likely wrong too?
JMAN - we have ALOT of variables on the table to effect the track so we cant just go by what tis model is saying. No alarms sounding until I Frank gives the All Call. Temper the excitement.
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
Matthew is moving south now haha.
Honestly, models have no clue. There's many ways for this storm to hit us unfortunately. GFS just showed us how ULL may not mean much if the trough and ridge is strong.
Honestly, models have no clue. There's many ways for this storm to hit us unfortunately. GFS just showed us how ULL may not mean much if the trough and ridge is strong.
Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
Somebody please post 925mb wind maps when you have them please.
hyde345- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
the euro comes out at in about an hour?
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
Wow winds are rough with this run.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
On it, it not pretty pretty much anyone from 25 miles to the coast is screwed on this run, at least cat 1 sustained winds.hyde345 wrote:Somebody please post 925mb wind maps when you have them please.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
Way more than 25 miles inalnd in NJ, I expect it to expand as it continues into next frame. Brutal.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
Cool thing about these maps frank shared me to the link is that u can click ur exact area, mine says 72kts! And I am not even on the water.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
GEFS is right near the coast
http://www.stormvistawxmodels.com/img/gfs-ens/current/12z/GFS-ENS_MSLPThickQPF_na_f174.png
http://www.stormvistawxmodels.com/img/gfs-ens/current/12z/GFS-ENS_MSLPThickQPF_na_f174.png
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
jmanley32 wrote:On it, it not pretty pretty much anyone from 25 miles to the coast is screwed on this run, at least cat 1 sustained winds.hyde345 wrote:Somebody please post 925mb wind maps when you have them please.
Thanks
hyde345- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
Wow 70-90kts around NYC wow!
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
Landfall is actually RI, man misquamicut will be wiped off the map again!
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
Most of this mixes to the ground versus the 850's right? Especially with all the heavy precip, or is this not like t0storms and mixing down is not a issue?
If this were winter it would be the most epic blizzard of all time.
If this were winter it would be the most epic blizzard of all time.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
Navgem is a monster
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
Snow88 wrote:Navgem is a monster
im still wait for it on tt, where u looking?
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
I can only see it out to 144 hrs on 06z, does it get captured?
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
Wow 2mph due south, wth?!!
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
Where do I find the NAVGEM out to 180? I hear its a huge hit and wanted to have the link. TT only 144 and not loading also wxbell only 144 hrs.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/index.html?tab=global#global
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
Major, so its progged to regain once out of bahamas....Snow88 wrote:WTF is M?
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
Snow88 wrote:https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/index.html?tab=global#global
weird that link takes me to a page that says not private back to safety?
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
Euro looks east and slower.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
Direct landfall on haiti...
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"
wow a cat 5..huge monster. looking at it gives me a pit in my stomach feeling
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