Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

rb924119 wrote:Just my own personal thought, but I think once past the Keys, the main circulation of Irma doesn't touch land again until the Panhandle, just like it did with Cuba's mainland, because of the frictional gradient. If that's the case, the entire west coast of the sate gets the worst possible effects, and it will be a monster along the entire western edge of the peninsula, as well as several hours after landfall. Again, just my opinion, but there are several models that support this. We just have to wait and see.

that would be aweful!!

Looking back to page 8 of this thread, hopefully nobody did what everybody was saying to do-ie.if you were on the east coast, or had family there, that they should evacuate and head west. I realize that that advice was given because of what the models were showing at the time, but as we all know things have changed quite a bit since then and if they did what was recommended, they would have actually put themselves in harms way. As the saying goes "hindsight is 20/20."

Disneyprincess1592 wrote:I'm in Orlando Florida where we are only suppose to get 40-60 mph winds throughout the entire storm. Don't know how true that is but so far it's been good

so you did not leave...good luck we will be thinking of you..

Weathermom as bad as I wanted to financially I just couldn't do it and my fiancès car wouldn't have made it. We would have got there but not make it back :/

[quote="Disneyprincess1592"]Weathermom as bad as I wanted to financially I just couldn't do it and my fiancès car wouldn't have made it. We would have got there but not make it back :/[/quots
e]

Good luck keep us posted...are you home or in a shelter....

Disneyprincess1592 wrote:Weathermom as bad as I wanted to financially I just couldn't do it and my fiancès car wouldn't have made it. We would have got there but not make it back :/

Goodluck hunkering down and they lied to you about the einds. She is going to ride the coast and possibly stay just offshore to strengthen the whole ride.up as per the latest. Rb nailed this. Kudo's to him again.
Goodl uck stay safe.

I am home I live on the 3rd floor of a well built apartment complex it's me and my fiancé and the kitty. As far as the winds I don't know what to expect, according to most forecasts down here Orange County isn't in the cone anymore I'm waiting to see what the new update brings but as far as wind I don't know what to expect

The Keys are catching holy hell. It's every person for her/himself down there.

And now the rest of the state will, too. Damn shame.

Eye wall approaching the keys within the next few hours.  South side of the eye wall does not look all that healthy on radar.  Looks like a combination of dry air infiltaating some from the west and NW and mod shear.  Its going tobe REALLY hard to strengthen with these two factors. Good news for Fla. West Coast
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sroc4 wrote:Eye wall approaching the keys within the next few hours.  South side of the eye wall does not look all that healthy on radar.  Looks like a combination of dry air infiltaating some from the west and NW and mod shear.  Its going tobe REALLY hard to strengthen with these two factors.  Good news for Fla. West Coast
=8&opacity[0]=1&hidden[0]=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=1&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider]http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=full_disk&x=12384&y=5728&z=3&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=8&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=1&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

i just heard the latest updates...they said sustained winds at the keys are 130..and they were experiencing lightning.for a while that the forscaster said means weakening..lets hope

simon brewer in the keys this morning...

https://twitter.com/justonstrmrider?lang=en

crazy he said winds at that time were 117

official word is she made landflall in CudJoe Key as a cat 4

Looks like it's heading due north instead of NNW.

Amy Freeze said reports that almost all of the keys are now under water..

RJB8525 wrote:Amy Freeze said reports that almost all of the keys are now under water..

That is not a shock since there is a 10' surge and the islands have about that as a total elevation.

Not as strong as she was and modelling suggested but if she just heads North she is over warm gulf waters still fueling her or keeping her intensity levels up. Not the 185 CAT 5 from days ago for sure but still a destructive cane.

Reporting from Orlando Florida: still have power winds are about 20 mph doing okay thanks again everyone for all your advice and concerns I feel very loved from a distance

Many prayers were answered in my opinion. While Irma is still dangerous and bad for SW Florida, don't forget just 2 days ago (not even) most models had her making landfall near Miami as a strong Cat 4 or 5 hurricane. This morning, Irma is a Cat 4 but if you look at satellite imagery she looks very beaten down and I haven't seen any report winds greater than 100 mph yet. The west side of FL or eastern Gulf also is a much less cyclone environment so expect Irma to weaken from here on out. Good luck to anyone who has family or friends down there!

Disneyprincess1592 wrote:Reporting from Orlando Florida: still have power winds are about 20 mph doing okay thanks again everyone for all your advice and concerns I feel very loved from a distance

great to hear!! I heard that some of the heavy bands of rain should be starting to come into your area....just remember there is ebb and flow to all of this...is this your first hurricane?

Buoy in key West

Weathermom, I was up in Jersey for Sandy and I did hurricane Matthew so not really but I always freak out because it's exciting and scary all at the same time!

The SE coast of FL seem to be getting some strong winds for being further from the center. Unlike the west coast their winds are coming straight off the ocean

Be safe everyone in FL!

117knot wind reported in the NE Quadrant

Check out ths link that Simon Bowser posted on Twitter - SICK!!

https://twitter.com/SimonStormRider/status/906843778824187904

11AM Advisory
Wind: 130mph
Cat 4
933mb
Movement: N at 9mph

amugs wrote:117knot wind reported in the NE Quadrant

Check out ths link that Simon Bowser posted on Twitter - SICK!!

https://twitter.com/SimonStormRider/status/906843778824187904

ha ha mugs posted that already at 8:23 this morning...these guys are insane

amugs wrote:117knot wind reported in the NE Quadrant

Check out ths link that Simon Bowser posted on Twitter - SICK!!

https://twitter.com/SimonStormRider/status/906843778824187904

These guys are just stupid. Just stick your arm out the window to get a wind reading. With all the debris one day one of them is going to get killed. All for a little attention.