Re: May 2015 Observations and Discussions

by **Dunnzoo** Wed May 27, 2015 7:45 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:Looks like I won't be getting any rain here we need it badly

Welcome to my world skins, me and mugsy have been in the precip black hole forever! Finally got a decent downpour.

by **Dunnzoo** Wed May 27, 2015 9:53 pm

.5" here, feels good at 71°

by **jmanley32** Thu May 28, 2015 2:43 pm

Severe tstorm watch entire area all way to new London county in ct. Starting to pop supercells. May b a more hit or miss but look like any that do form will pack a punch.

by **skinsfan1177** Thu May 28, 2015 5:33 pm

I can't believe the rain just 7 miles south in seaside heights,toms river, and Beachwood it has been raining since 1pm and still raining I'm dry as a bone here ugh!!!

by **Math23x7** Thu May 28, 2015 6:20 pm

I am getting a downpour here as we speak.

by **Dunnzoo** Thu May 28, 2015 6:30 pm

NNJ dry again....

by **skinsfan1177** Thu May 28, 2015 8:29 pm

I'm so aggravated we got a sprinkle here that's it 1-2 inches fell 5 mile south of me

by **docstox12** Thu May 28, 2015 11:24 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:NNJ dry again....

Holy crow, Dunz, even in the summer our area gets shafted while the big precip stays south.Just so funny.....

by **Snow88** Fri May 29, 2015 9:54 am

Much needed rain is on the way for Sunday into Monday.

by **Frank_Wx** Fri May 29, 2015 10:14 am

Snow88 wrote:Much needed rain is on the way for Sunday into Monday.

Yes, at least 1 inch expected

May 2015 Observations and Discussions - Page 9 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_11

by **Math23x7** Fri May 29, 2015 10:44 am

Snow88 wrote:Much needed rain is on the way for Sunday into Monday.

I have a feeling that the 3-day stretch from Monday, September 14th to Wednesday, September 16th will feature a doubleheader between the Mets and Marlins due to the weather on Sunday.

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri May 29, 2015 4:14 pm

Frank..do you think it will rain all day on Sunday?? My grass is dead and my gardens are not thriving..even though I am watering...it is like July...lol and I really do not feel like standing in the snack bar for 5 hours for my BB work duty(11-4)...lol...hope it rains early Laughing

by **skinsfan1177** Fri May 29, 2015 4:34 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:Frank..do you think it will rain all day on Sunday?? My grass is dead and my gardens are not thriving..even though I am watering...it is like July...lol and I really do not feel like standing in the snack bar for 5 hours for my BB work duty(11-4)...lol...hope it rains early

Even yesterday here no rain been watering everyday just south of me toms river got 4 inches

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri May 29, 2015 6:08 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:Frank..do you think it will rain all day on Sunday?? My grass is dead and my gardens are not thriving..even though I am watering...it is like July...lol and I really do not feel like standing in the snack bar for 5 hours for my BB work duty(11-4)...lol...hope it rains early

Even yesterday here no rain been watering everyday just south of me toms river got 4 inches

us too..did not get one drop of rain yesterday...and the other day when the storms were passing thru we got 2 seconds of rain...

by **Frank_Wx** Fri May 29, 2015 6:58 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:Frank..do you think it will rain all day on Sunday?? My grass is dead and my gardens are not thriving..even though I am watering...it is like July...lol and I really do not feel like standing in the snack bar for 5 hours for my BB work duty(11-4)...lol...hope it rains early

No, I think it starts in the afternoon. To make matters worse, models take the heaviest rain into NY state and gives us more of a moderate rain. We could have gotten 2 inches but looks like we'll only be around 1 inch

by **Dtone** Fri May 29, 2015 9:28 pm

Its the 3rd driest May in CPK as it stands now.
Also somewhere in the top 5 warmest May, how much the rain hold temps down Sun will determine where.

by **Math23x7** Sat May 30, 2015 12:57 am

The 0Z RGEM keeps NYC-eastward dry during the daytime hours on Sunday.

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat May 30, 2015 8:47 am

Thank you Frank....

by **jmanley32** Sun May 31, 2015 6:07 am

hey guys, frank spc calling for possible svr wx today? also from gfs it looks like rain lasts into tuesday now not just monday? Been nice out otherwise, guess its about some time for some real rain, although we did get a few hrs of steadier on and off rain from the storms on I believe Tuesday. Seems like 1 inch may be undercutting this, or is that going to be a avg?

by **skinsfan1177** Sun May 31, 2015 7:41 am

I think 1-2 inches widespread jman

by **docstox12** Sun May 31, 2015 7:58 am

We can use 2 inches up here, many lawns all burnt out .Looks like August.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun May 31, 2015 9:01 am

Rain is going to begin later in the day, possibly around 4pm. It now looks to rain through most of Monday, which is good since we need it. 1-2 inches of rain possible with isolated higher amounts under thunderstorm effected areas. We dry out again during the week. Maybe some rain again next Sunday.

In terms of severe weather, I don't see much of it for us. North into central NY is where I think the greatest threat is.

by ak926 Sun May 31, 2015 9:12 am

Thanks Frank, I had a shower this morning .06 in the rain bucket. .76 for the month

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Sun May 31, 2015 11:07 am

I was thinking the same thing Doc. I've never seen lawns take on in August look in late May around here. This is a first.

Of course as DTone said earlier combine a top 5 driest may ever with a top 5 warmest May ever and this is what you end up with. Seems like we are now an area of extremes.

by **jmanley32** Sun May 31, 2015 12:45 pm

12z cmc shows heavy rain over the area still at 06z Tuesday with more to go. Seems this may be a quite long rain event if that happens. I know we need the rain but 1-2 days or rain sucks, I hope even if not svr we see some t-storms.

by **amugs** Sun May 31, 2015 1:02 pm

Through Tuesday folks - washout city in the making but we need it!

May 2015 Observations and Discussions - Page 9 Post-6-0-78237900-1433088835

Severe Wx potential

May 2015 Observations and Discussions - Page 9 Day1otlk_1630

HRRR Showing NJ and LHV getting it good here if it serves like the Blackhawks last night!

May 2015 Observations and Discussions - Page 9 Hrrr_2015053115_ref_pennsylvania

May 2015 Observations and Discussions - Page 9 Hrrr_2015053115_ref_pennsylvania

by **amugs** Sun May 31, 2015 1:06 pm

Tropical outside today - cloudy with showers

76/80/72 Dew - ugly by my standards and looks like no golf for me manana!! had an outing and I am not one of the die hards to go out if it is showering to play

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