February 2017 Observations & Discussions

I never seen clouds move north west

I'm just going to put this here ladies and gents:

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0Byod2Sk27yNYMWJFWFNuTFJ3dk0

Just a video presenting a case study that I did this morning regarding the anomalous nature of this February in a historical context. I tried to keep it as objective as possible, and leave any "arguments" out of it, but there was a little bit of a stance inferred I guess. At any rate, I wasn't quite expecting the results I got, mainly, the distribution of anomalously warm Februaries. I also did include analysis of the cold side of things as well, but felt no need to include them in the discussion because they had little bearing on the topic at hand. However, those results DO show conclusive evidence that statistically significant colder Februaries and winters did occur largely prior to 1980, and if you would like I can post them too to further discussion. For reference, please also look at the closest analog that I was able to dig up (so far) for this season (December-January) compared to this season below:



I did not go into any analysis regarding the setups of any of these seasons, as that would have required a much longer presentation haha Anyway, I hope you enjoy it and at least find it as partially interesting as I did!!

jmanley32 wrote:

frank 638 wrote:Do u think the storms will  survive to the coast

Depends how quick they are to move and if they can hold up over the mountains which they appear to be doing, if its near or after dark less likely, I think coast does see t-storms, severe or not.

Windy as heck here Jman, you'd love it.

I'm guessing as the front nears the wind is go pick up everywhere. But ur at a higher elevation yes?

72* and clouding up here. Breezy as well. Very powerful storms embedded in that line moving through Eastern PA right now. Interesting to see if they survive the trip across the Delaware.

Yeah purple on accuwx don't see that often the winds really picking up temps dropping fast.

I did notice that to it is getting windy and cooler at least we are tracking thunderstorm

I wonder if our area for NYC and was will install Watches or Warnings go up

Frank no severe weather nj is lit up with warnings.

jmanley32 wrote:I'm guessing as the front nears the wind is go pick up everywhere. But ur at a higher elevation yes?

I'm at 600 feet but the whole town I live in is 500-900 feet elevation, it's not like I live on a mountaintop or anything. It's basically the normal progression in height as you move away from the ocean, LI Sound and the Hudson river.

frank 638 wrote:I wonder if our area for NYC and was will install Watches or Warnings go up

this go b in and out in next 2 hrs so if anythimg it will b last minute warnings too late for watches.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:I'm guessing as the front nears the wind is go pick up everywhere. But ur at a higher elevation yes?

I'm at 600 feet but the whole town I live in is 500-900 feet elevation, it's not like I live on a mountaintop or anything. It's basically the normal progression in height as you move away from the ocean, LI Sound and the Hudson river.

ur under a warning is it look bad there?

Just spoke to my parents in NE PA and they were tornado warned.......only things worth noting were pea-sized hail and continuous lightning lol hardly any wind ahaha

It's currently 39 in Rome, NY and 66 in Albany lol quite a front aha

Thunder and lightning very strong winds and rain and hail just crashed thru Stillwater at 1100 ft alt, NO POWER !

Apparently, according to spotter reports hail of 1-1.75" in parts of Lackawanna and Luzerne counties in Pa, which are near Scranton. Idk how much I believe it, but those are reports. Also, apparently some wind damage there from earlier this afternoon as well with spotty roof damage reports.

jmanley32 wrote:

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:I'm guessing as the front nears the wind is go pick up everywhere. But ur at a higher elevation yes?

I'm at 600 feet but the whole town I live in is 500-900 feet elevation, it's not like I live on a mountaintop or anything. It's basically the normal progression in height as you move away from the ocean, LI Sound and the Hudson river.

ur under a warning is it look bad there?

It looks worse than it is right now.  Dry dark sky's but temperature still above 60 and winds not as  strong as they've been all day. We have a severe thunderstorm warning so I guess we'll see.
In February no less we have reached the absurd level.

Real good thunderstorm going here. Frequent lightning and thunder with heavy rain and wind gusts. Nice loud booms of thunder every now and then.

On a related note as it pours outside with lots of thunder and lightning: I do love the weather app on my iPhone during thunderstorms. The lightning flashing, and occasional bolts in the background is pretty realistic, and almost as fun to watch as the real thing out my window. Lol.

Temperature has dropped from 71* to 58* in less than an hour.

Pouring here. Dinner reservations at 6:30. Poor timing.

Down to 54

And now my parents in NE PA are snowing ahahaha

Lightening and thunder hear so much for the marine layer

a lightning show right now and heavy rain...

weatherwatchermom wrote:a lightning show right now and heavy rain...

Same here crazy in february

Mod rain now Temp are dropping to fro 61 to 57 *

Maddone mia its coming down