March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
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March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
Hi everyone! Here is today's update:
http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/2016/03/euro-model-shows-godzilla-while-gfs.html
http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/2016/03/euro-model-shows-godzilla-while-gfs.html
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
Great write up Frank................ Looks like we have one more dance with Old Man Winter
Joe Snow- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
thanks frank for the great post at least winter will go out with a bang after all we only had one blizzard 2 or 3 minor snow event . i look forward to have one more snowstorm have a good night frank
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
Nice write-up Frank. March has produced some memorable snowstorms before, looks like it might be fixin' to do it again.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
Nice post. But I think the east trend will start soon been watching for a few days before I finally gave and needed to post some models got my interest but not going to be pulled in to see this go east again hope I am wrong but not feeling it.
jimv45- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
I know that this belongs in the Obs thread, but I just got off the phone with my parents..........they had thundersnow this evening I LIVED IN THAT HOUSE FOR 20 YEARS AND NOT ONCE DID I EVER EXPERIENCE IT. I HAVEN'T REALLY LIVED AT HOME FOR ABOUT FIVE YEARS (between college/internships and now actually having moved out) AND OF THOSE FIVE YEARS THEY HAVE HAD IT FOUR TIMES. UGHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!! Mother Nature that's a cruel joke to play on a person, let me tell you!! End rant lol On the other hand, hopefully its a positive vibe for the possible event this weekend
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
rb924119 wrote:I know that this belongs in the Obs thread, but I just got off the phone with my parents..........they had thundersnow this evening I LIVED IN THAT HOUSE FOR 20 YEARS AND NOT ONCE DID I EVER EXPERIENCE IT. I HAVEN'T REALLY LIVED AT HOME FOR ABOUT FIVE YEARS (between college/internships and now actually having moved out) AND OF THOSE FIVE YEARS THEY HAVE HAD IT FOUR TIMES. UGHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!! Mother Nature that's a cruel joke to play on a person, let me tell you!! End rant lol On the other hand, hopefully its a positive vibe for the possible event this weekend
This made me LOL
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
SREFS
JMA
Wootw00t
JMA
Wootw00t
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
Frank_Wx wrote:rb924119 wrote:I know that this belongs in the Obs thread, but I just got off the phone with my parents..........they had thundersnow this evening I LIVED IN THAT HOUSE FOR 20 YEARS AND NOT ONCE DID I EVER EXPERIENCE IT. I HAVEN'T REALLY LIVED AT HOME FOR ABOUT FIVE YEARS (between college/internships and now actually having moved out) AND OF THOSE FIVE YEARS THEY HAVE HAD IT FOUR TIMES. UGHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!! Mother Nature that's a cruel joke to play on a person, let me tell you!! End rant lol On the other hand, hopefully its a positive vibe for the possible event this weekend
This made me LOL
So glad my pain is your laughter -_- lmao Karma is a _____, just so you know :p
And the JMA is redonkulous I won't lie ahaa
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
Great write up Frank (never will I call you teh saint word (F R A N _ _ _) and like I said in part I of the is storm thread if we get a phase then watch the bleep out - that woudl be a monster I feel. ECM and EPS are all on board for this storm - that says a lot imb. Looking forward to great info coming 6AM from euro and gfs caving
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
nam dumps over ct li and north 12-18. too far east.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
actually not to far east the banding just doesnt reach to the area. it goes out to 84 centered over cape cod.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
Convective feedback on the NAM hrs 63-78. By 12z tomorrow peeps going to go nuts.
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sroc4- Admin
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
TTHE NAM, my friends, is trending toward the EURO, plain and simple. Watch her 12z run mañana.
SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
Once again lost a ton of convection to the east. Model wants to focus on the wrong spot
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sroc4- Admin
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
Ahhhh, we posted same thought at same time, Sroc! Hahasroc4 wrote:Convective feedback on the NAM hrs 63-78. By 12z tomorrow peeps going to go nuts.
SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
sroc4 wrote:Convective feedback on the NAM hrs 63-78. By 12z tomorrow peeps going to go nuts.
nice so sroc, that means that precip shield should have been much more expansive? Also was there a phase?
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
SoulSingMG wrote:TTHE NAM, my friends, is trending toward the EURO, plain and simple. Watch her 12z run mañana.
Great minds Soul
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sroc4- Admin
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
jmanley32 wrote:sroc4 wrote:Convective feedback on the NAM hrs 63-78. By 12z tomorrow peeps going to go nuts.
nice so sroc, that means that precip shield should have been much more expansive? Also was there a phase?
IMO between the hrs I stated the precip and LP center should be more focused not sitting 500miles to the EAST of center. We look to get partial phasing between hrs 69-75ish.
Last edited by sroc4 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 11:07 pm; edited 1 time in total
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sroc4- Admin
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
I call BS on this:
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WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
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sroc4- Admin
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
Headed to bed...going to wake up with a fresh cup O joe and will put out a first call
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sroc4- Admin
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
I see very similar situation to jonas.
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
I just had a chance to look at the 21Z SREFs for NYC. Keep in mind that with the qpf on the plumes, many of them have a mix of some sorts. And one of them, which has 1.95" of qpf, has 1.72 inches of snow before changing to heavy rain. But if you want to take the snow amounts as they are, six have them have no snow, five of them have a trace to one inch, six of them have 1-2 inches of snow, four of them have between 2-6 inches of snow, three of them have between 6-12 inches of snow. And two of them have 12"+, the highest amount being 15.53" of snow. The mean is 3.18" and the Median is 1.6" Here is the image of the amounts I put onto Excel:
Math23x7- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
jmanley32 wrote:I see very similar situation to jonas.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 20th-21st: Possible Spring Godzilla Update #2
opps didn't wuote. The precipitation not being around the low instead 500 miles to east as sroc4 said convective feedback.CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:jmanley32 wrote:I see very similar situation to jonas.
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